We've all seen a Bell Curve, and it is amazing how often this curve shows up in science, social studies, economics, population distributions, education, business, and government research. It's also interesting how often we are led to believe that something follows a bell curve, when it doesn't, IQ distributions for instance. What happens when the opposite is true, that is to say that the inverse of the wave is the proper pattern? Let's talk about innovation and technology gift.
We know about product life cycles in business, but some things don't have Bell Curves for their product life cycles - milk for instance - or when there is a disruption, for instance Twinkies, as it halts production and gaps up, just as when something that happens overseas during their day time, causes our stock markets to gap up or down - who could have known, those who did make bank, those who get blindsided have a bad hair day or consider jumping out of a high-rise window.
Now then, let's look at the Bell Curve, how about smaller Bell Curves at the top and bottom? How about taking a Bell Curve and inverting that curve and stretching it out on the right side, and how about inverting the Bell Curve as it pulls off the top? Now it looks like an innovation curve, and an extended wave. We've heard about inflection points and how a company might ride the wave up, and find a new innovation on the way to push higher, as the previous innovation falls, the organization's over all innovative number is raised due to the new technological advances of the same or different technology.
Meanwhile, the time access moves on. If times right you can have a series of peaks along a plane, holding your innovation to a reasonable plane, the average of all the peaks. If each peak has a new inflection point and a new one on that, soon we have an organization with a fractal design, waves on waves. Can it be done? Sure, it can happen in music creation and synthesizing sound waves.
Can I recommend an interesting book to read on this topic? It's written by a co-author of the Bell Curve, and it is titled;
"Human Accomplishment - The Pursuit of Excellence in the Arts and Sciences, 800 BC to 1950," by Charles Murray, HarperCollins Publishers, New York, NY, 2013, 668 pages, ISBN: 0-06-019247-X.
This book is a historical record of human accomplishments, achievements and advances. It shows an increase in human technology as a factor of time. Now the Singularity Institute is noting a potential emergence of massive cross-pollination which could like very much like the design and visual image of a fractal-like innovation curve gone 3-D like a snowflake. Please think on the potential for such visualization of human technological advances.
Rahul
Post new comment
Please Register or Login to post new comment.